Description

This analysis provides a forecast of LTC prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-10-12 0.000665 0.000756 0.000852 0.000960 0.001080 0.001207 0.001353
2025-10-19 0.000520 0.000645 0.000786 0.000956 0.001155 0.001378 0.001647
2025-10-26 0.000434 0.000573 0.000737 0.000942 0.001192 0.001483 0.001845
2025-11-02 0.000380 0.000529 0.000712 0.000951 0.001250 0.001608 0.002066
2025-11-09 0.000335 0.000490 0.000687 0.000952 0.001293 0.001712 0.002260
2025-11-16 0.000286 0.000439 0.000641 0.000921 0.001292 0.001759 0.002381
2025-11-23 0.000247 0.000398 0.000604 0.000897 0.001296 0.001808 0.002505
2025-11-30 0.000221 0.000371 0.000583 0.000893 0.001324 0.001887 0.002666
2025-12-07 0.000200 0.000349 0.000567 0.000892 0.001354 0.001969 0.002833
2025-12-14 0.000178 0.000325 0.000545 0.000882 0.001370 0.002031 0.002972
2025-12-21 0.000158 0.000301 0.000522 0.000868 0.001378 0.002082 0.003097
2025-12-28 0.000150 0.000296 0.000525 0.000893 0.001443 0.002210 0.003330
2026-01-04 0.000140 0.000286 0.000522 0.000908 0.001495 0.002324 0.003547
2026-01-11 0.000126 0.000269 0.000505 0.000900 0.001512 0.002388 0.003696
2026-01-18 0.000113 0.000251 0.000487 0.000888 0.001521 0.002441 0.003830
2026-01-25 0.000105 0.000242 0.000481 0.000896 0.001560 0.002537 0.004027
2026-02-01 0.000096 0.000230 0.000471 0.000897 0.001588 0.002617 0.004202
2026-02-08 0.000084 0.000210 0.000444 0.000868 0.001568 0.002624 0.004271
2026-02-15 0.000074 0.000194 0.000422 0.000845 0.001556 0.002643 0.004356
2026-02-22 0.000067 0.000184 0.000412 0.000841 0.001574 0.002707 0.004509
2026-03-01 0.000062 0.000175 0.000403 0.000840 0.001597 0.002779 0.004675
2026-03-08 0.000056 0.000165 0.000390 0.000831 0.001604 0.002826 0.004804
2026-03-15 0.000050 0.000154 0.000375 0.000817 0.001604 0.002861 0.004914